NIALL FERGUSON, el historiador británico afincado en Estados Unidos, cree que el país está polarizado, pero no tanto; está al borde de unas elecciones, no de una guerra civil:

Yet the conventional wisdom that America is being rent asunder by this election strikes me as fundamentally wrong. Having spent much of the past few months on the road, giving lectures in states as diverse as Massachusetts, New York, California, Michigan and Minnesota, I am happy to report that civil war is not imminent. Indeed, I would go so far as to say that the notorious political polarisation in the United States is something of an illusion. What we are seeing here is a sign of democratic vitality in a land that remains fundamentally whole.

Por su parte, Mark Steyn opina que no es sólo la economía, estúpido.

ACTUALIZACIÓN. Bastante en la línea de Ferguson, este editorial del Wall Street Journal.